The Historic Strikeout Issues Of Javier Baez

Ball8StatsJavier Baez was the No. 5 prospect in baseball coming into the 2014 season, and upon his call up in early August he promptly showed he … had some strikeout issues.

Baez struck out 95 times in just 229 plate appearances. In other words, Baez struck out 41.5 percent of the time he stepped to the plate.

Here is the full list of players in baseball history who struck out in at least 40 percent of their plate appearances in a season (minimum 225 plate appearances):

Rk Player SO PA Year Age Tm AB R H HR RBI BB HBP BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Javier Baez 95 229 2014 21 CHC 213 25 36 9 20 15 1 .169 .227 .324 .551 *64

Lengthy list.

If we expand it to the players who had a strikeout rate of at least 35 percent (minimum 225 PAs), the list gets a bit longer:

Rk Player SO PA Year Age Tm AB R H HR RBI BB HBP BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Chris Carter 212 585 2013 26 HOU 506 64 113 29 82 70 4 .223 .320 .451 .770 37D/H9
2 Mark Reynolds 211 596 2010 26 ARI 499 79 99 32 85 83 9 .198 .320 .433 .753 *5/3H
3 Adam Dunn 177 496 2011 31 CHW 415 36 66 11 42 75 4 .159 .292 .277 .569 *D3/H9
4 Tyler Flowers 159 442 2014 28 CHW 407 42 98 15 50 25 8 .241 .297 .396 .693 *2/H
5 Bo Jackson 158 434 1987 24 KCR 396 46 93 22 53 30 5 .235 .296 .455 .750 *78/H9D
6 Melvin Nieves 157 405 1997 25 DET 359 46 82 20 64 39 5 .228 .311 .451 .762 *9HD/8
7 Chris Davis 150 419 2009 23 TEX 391 48 93 21 59 24 2 .238 .284 .442 .726 *35/DH
8 Juan Francisco 138 385 2013 26 TOT 348 36 79 18 48 32 3 .227 .296 .422 .719 *35H/D
9 Jon Singleton 134 362 2014 22 HOU 310 42 52 13 44 50 1 .168 .285 .335 .620 *3/H
10 Russell Branyan 132 361 2001 25 CLE 315 48 73 20 54 38 3 .232 .316 .486 .802 *57H/D9
11 Dave Nicholson 126 351 1964 24 CHW 294 40 60 13 39 52 3 .204 .329 .364 .693 *7/H9
12 Juan Francisco 116 320 2014 27 TOR 287 40 63 16 43 27 3 .220 .291 .456 .747 *53HD
13 Brett Wallace 104 285 2013 26 HOU 262 35 58 13 36 18 5 .221 .284 .431 .716 *3/5HD
14 Mike Olt 100 258 2014 25 CHC 225 23 36 12 33 25 3 .160 .248 .356 .604 *5H3/D
15 Javier Baez 95 229 2014 21 CHC 213 25 36 9 20 15 1 .169 .227 .324 .551 *64
16 Kelly Shoppach 89 245 2012 32 TOT 219 23 51 8 27 16 8 .233 .309 .425 .733 *2/HD
17 Billy Ashley 88 244 1995 24 LAD 215 17 51 8 27 25 2 .237 .320 .372 .692 *7H

Fear not, Cubs fans. There are some viable major league players on this list. Adam Dunn. Chris Davis.

And how about the 2014 Cubs? This has happened 17 times in Major League history – and two of their players did in the same season (Baez and Mike Olt), just as two 2013 Astros (Brett Wallace and Chris Carter) managed to do it.

5 comments

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  • Your opinion offers little when you simple pick out a players stats and them compare them to a list of others. Anyone can do that and unfortunately way to many sites are doing that already. Why don’t you try taking the time to find out what Javy Baez and the Cubs are doing to cut down those strike outs. You talk as if it can’t be done, at a player is doomed to whatever he is in his first year. Did you know Javy does very poorly whenever he is promoted to a higher level? Check his stats, you’ll see it’s fact. He does poorly for a period of time, then adjusts and takes off. Last year he was promoted twice. AAA was a huge adjustment for him, and quite a challenge, but he managed it. He started out in the Major Leagues the very same way, lots of strike outs. AAA took him quite a while so it’s only natural to assume that the ML’s would take even longer. It’s all in the stats. With a bit of research you can easily learn when Javy and the Cubs are doing to help his adjustment. It would make for a far better read.

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    • You’re quite right about how Javy has adjusted (we read Bleacher Nation and other sites that have covered that thoroughly every step of the way).

      But …

      While I was aware he had a historically bad strikeout rate, I wasn’t quite sure how bad until we looked at it this way. And I certainly didn’t know that the 2014 Cubs had two players do something (bad) that had only happened 17 times in MLB history.

      Just found it interesting. That’s all.

      And I certainly don’t believe that he can’t figure it out. But the early numbers are certainly concerning.

      Like

  • Wow, Dave Nicholson was ahead of his time.

    Liked by 1 person

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